2024 Recession Risk. Inflation continues to decline across most major economies, with china in deflation. Optimists will say that even if there is a recession, itโ€™s likely to be mild:


2024 Recession Risk

View an estimate of the probability of recession based on employment, industrial production, real personal income, and real manufacturing and trade sales. The banks are healthy and the fed has plenty of room to cut the federal funds rate โ€” now in a.

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